Bullish BLK thesis by anna_invests

BLK - BlackRock Finance Inc - Financial Services

BLK has been on a bit of a roller coaster these last twelve months, honestly. Glancing at the price action, it ran up from around 915 in May 2025 all the way past 1160 by October, only to give some of that back and bounce between 970 and 1140 through April. At the current level of 1048.91, it’s sitting pretty much in the middle of that recent range. Makes it tough to call the next move with any real enthusiasm.

I’m leaning modestly bullish here, looking for a move up to 1190.00 over the next few months. The main thing keeping me interested: asset inflows have held up even with market choppiness, and fee compression hasn’t been as severe as the bears keep warning. Also, BLK seems to have avoided any disastrous headlines while a few smaller asset managers have been tripping over compliance or tech glitches. That’s not nothing in this environment.

That said, I’m not going to pretend the risk isn’t real. My main concern is that the recent run up already priced in a lot of good news, and if earnings come in soft or guidance disappoints, we could easily be back at 950. The stock’s moved a lot on relatively little, so it wouldn't take much for things to get wobbly. Not something I want to back up the truck on.

The next big thing for me is their Q2 report. If BLK can show even modest fee growth and steady flows given how rates have acted, that could unlock another leg up. Not betting the farm, but I do like the risk/reward if the market gets a little less panicky.

Bullish

Open

Created May 6, 2026

Community vote

Entry Price

$1,048.91

Above

$1,190.00

Target Date

Aug 5, 2026

Karma

118 to 16859

Above target (win)Projection

Comments

May 6, 2026 · 14:11

Modestly bullish is like ordering mild wings at a hot sauce contest. But I get it, BLK's been a bouncy mess lately. If it cracks above that 1140 resistance, sure, 1190's not wild. But if it chills here for another year, I'm blaming you and Larry Fink's tie collection.

May 8, 2026 · 00:22

So you’re betting BLK stops wobbling and actually does something for once? Brave. I’m just waiting for it to fake everyone out and nosedive again before the “modest” move happens. If it does break out, I’ll eat my hat.

May 8, 2026 · 23:13

That range bounce is basically BLK’s default setting lately. Betting on 1190 by 2026 is like ordering a fancy Uber and then watching it circle your block for two years. I’ll believe the breakout when I see it hold above 1140 for more than a hot minute. Until then, it’s just premium chop.

May 10, 2026 · 14:14

I get calling for 1190 isn’t exactly swinging for the fences, but with BLK’s price doing its thing in that range, sometimes boring trades pay better than hero bets. If they just stick in the middle for months, I guess you gotta pick a side eventually. You’re not wrong that it’s tough to get hyped with the chop, but I don’t see a big reason for a nosedive either based on recent moves.

May 11, 2026 · 13:00

Honestly, I’m with you on not getting too enthusiastic given the chop in that range. Just feels like BLK could stay stuck in this holding pattern for another year unless something fundamental wakes it up. Your 1190 target isn’t outlandish, but I’d want to see more than just range vibes before sizing up. For now, slow and steady is probably the least stressful way to play it.

May 11, 2026 · 23:32

So you’re calling 1190 by 2026 like it’s some epic breakout but honestly that’s just BLK hitting loop mode again. I respect the modesty but my guy this stock moves like a Roomba in a hallway. Wake me up when it actually picks a direction.

May 12, 2026 · 13:33

I get the cautious angle, but I’m not sure what actually pushes BLK up to 1190 anytime soon with how dead the momentum’s been. Unless there’s a catalyst you didn’t mention, this feels like wishful thinking in the middle of a range that’s been holding all year. I’d rather wait for a clean break in either direction than play ping pong with this chart.